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screening for lung cancer
Epidemiology:
- among 3400 people who received CT scans for lung cancer screening [58]
- only 21% met all 3 USPSTF eligibility criteria
- 20% met none of the criteria
- the rest met only one or two criteria.
- among 5800 people who met all 3 USPSTF criteria, only 13% received CT screening [58]
Indications:
1) USPSTF & ACA recommend annual screening with low-dose CT (LDLCT) for current or past smokers age 50-80 with a 20-pack-year smoking history [55]
- formerly 30 pack-year age 55-74 years who currently smoke or have quit within the past 15 years [20]
- formerly insufficient evidence to recommend routine screening [3]
- high-risk adults with negative CT screen for lung cancer might not require subsequent annual screening (not standard of care) [38]
2) screening those at highest risk yields highest benefit/harm ratio [21,22,44]
a) low-dose spiral CT anually for screening high-risk patients [1,2,4,10,22]
b) screen smokers & former smokers age 55-74 with >=30 pack-years of smoking
3) some controvery still exsits, especially in < highest risk patients
a) no reduction in mortality in 20 year follow-up analysis [5]
b) overdiagnosis & potentially harmful workup of benign lesions is a concern [5,9]
4) screening with low-dose CT reduces risk in older smokers
a) *American Lung Association & American Association for Thoracic Surgery, & American Cancer Society (ACA) now recommend screening for high-risk patients [13,15,16]
- current or former smoker with >= 20 pack-year history of smoking
- age 55-79 years (contrast with CMS proposal)
- age 55-77 years (American College of Chest Physicians) [43]
- age 50-80 years (USPSTF & ACA) [55]
- long-term lung cancer survivors until age 79 [15]
b) *number needed to screen to prevent 1 lung cancer related death ~ 320 [11,19]
c) substantial uncertainty [14]
- harm from overdiagnosis & radiation remain unresolved
- positive predictive value of abnormal CT = 4% [19]
5) annual chest X-ray does not diminish mortality from lung cancer [12]
* a 55 year old current smoker with a 30 pack-year history of smoking has a higher risk of false positives than a 74 year old current smoker with a 60 pack-year history of smoking, therefore would benefit less from screening [40]
Contraindications:
- significant medical problems affecting life expectancy
- non smokers or former smoked who quit > 15 years ago [26]
- asymptomatic smokers & former smokers who do not meet the smoking & age criteria [43]
- patients with symptoms suggestive of lung cancer should receive appropriate diagnostic testing not screening [43]
Benefit/risk:
- sensitivity 93%, specificity 84% [59]
- positive predictive value 10%, negative predictive value 99.8% [59]
- number needed to treat (screen) to prevent 1 death
- 217 [11], 142 [53], 194 [39] (USPSTF guidelines)
- models based on risk 162 [39]
- 100 [41]
- number needed to harm [11]
- 4 for false positive CT scan
- 2 for false positive CT scan with repeat scanning [41]
- 30 for unnecessary surgery
- 50 for unnecessary invasive procedures (bronchoscopy, thoracotomy) [41]
- 161 for surgical complication
- lower quit rates among smokers who have been screened [36]
- no statistically significant effects of CT screening on lung cancer mortality [37]
- high-risk subgroup analyses showed nonsignificant trends [37]
- after 10 years of screening, one radiation-induced cancer for every 108 lung cancers detected [42]
- 67% of the screen-detected cancers were overdiagnosis in Danish Lung Cancer Screening Trial vs 19% in U.S.-based National Lung Cancer Screening Trial [47]
- indeterminate scans requiring additional imaging 20% [53}
- no reduction in overall mortality [53]
- early-stage diagnoses & all-cause survival have increased since 2014, after CT screening was recommended for high-risk patients [57]
- advances in treatment & lead-time bias may contribute to the increase in survival [57]
Procedure:
- 4 protein biomarkers for lung cancer screening may identify patients who would benefit from low-dose chest CT [48]
- low-dose chest CT
* threshold for a positive test is a nodule 4-6 mm in diameter [43]
Radiology:
- low-dose chest CT (LDLCT)
- respiratory bronchiolitis-associated interstitial lung disease found in active smokers with centrilobular micronodules [20]
- aortic valve calcification may represent aortic valvular stenosis [56]
Adverse effects:
- radiation exposure
- lifetime risk of radiation-induced cancer from screening is 2.6-8.1 per 10,000 [42]
Complications:
- 1/3 of patients undergo further imaging [59]
- 1/35 patients undergo invasive procedures (biopsy, bronchoscopy, mediastinoscopy ...)
- procedural complications
- intestinal obstruction [59]
- cardiac arrest [59]
- acute respiratory failure [59]
Management:
- see solitary pulmonary nodule
Comparative biology:
- polymer nanoparticles coated in DNA targeted by protease enzymes linked to stage I lung adenocarcinoma are administered by nebulizer or inhaler
- proteases cleave off the DNA which enter the bloodstream & are secreted in the urine [60]
- a test strip can detect the DNA, with results ~20 minutes
- tested in mice with specificity of 100%, sensitivity 85% [60]
Notes:
- CMS announces Medicare coverage for lung cancer screening in high-risk patients [30,32]
- age 55-77 years
- >=30 pack-year history of smoking
- current smoker or has quit within last 15 years
- a written order from a clinician obtained during a lung cancer screening counseling & shared decision-making visit, which includes information on the procedure's risks & benefits
- screening reduces risk of death from lung cancer by 20% in proposed Medicare-covered population [31]
- cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained is $81,000 for CT screening in high-risk patients [29]
- no mortality benefit of annual low-dose spiral CT in high-risk patients in a community setting [8]
- discourse on significance of threshold for positive CT [17]
- risk of overdiagnosis [25]
- Medicare advisers previously voted against paying for lung cancer screening in high-risk patients [27,28]
- higher rate of false positive (27% vs 22%) for patients > 65 vs < 65 years of age [27]
- Lung-RADS criteria for classifying lung nodules detected during low-dose computed tomography screening increased specificity at the cost of decreased sensitivty for detecting lung cancer [33]
- decline in cases with a 30-pack-year smoking history who had quit within 15 years [34]
- contents of lung cancer screening medical websites emphasize potential benefits while downplaying potential harms [54]
Related
biomarkers for lung cancer screening
lung cancer
General
screening for cancer
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